Splitting The Warren Vote In Haverhill

From the Setti Warren campaign for U.S. Senate:

Mayor Setti Warren Wins the Haverhill Straw Poll

Haverhill, MA – Over the weekend, Mayor Warren won the annual Haverhill Democratic City Committee straw poll; the complete results from the straw poll are below:

Setti Warren: 34

Elizabeth Warren: 13

Marisa Defranco: 11

Tom Conroy: 9

Bob Massie: 5

Alan Khazei: 1

Herb Robinson: 0

This comes hard on the heels of Setti W’s dispatching of Elizabeth W in Methuen’s straw poll.

Do we see a pattern emerging here? Or is it too early for that kind of thing?

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4 Responses to Splitting The Warren Vote In Haverhill

  1. 73 non-votes cast? What are you talking about?

  2. Steve Stein's avatar Steve Stein says:

    Including Methuen (before EWarren had announced), that’s 210 non-randomly selected non-votes. With a sample size like that, even a randomly selected poll would have a margin of error around 7%. So thanks for bringing us the breaking news.

    I’m much more interested in seeing how newspapers are going to deal with reporting and naming the two Warrens. First names are normally dispensed with, but in this case they’re indispensable. Not since Schwarzenegger dined alone will such newsprint, pixels and air time be spent on candidates names!

  3. Steve Stein's avatar Steve Stein says:

    Elizabeth Warren, meanwhile, is seen as preferable to Scott Brown 46% to 44% in a PPP poll today (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/09/warren-takes-lead-on-brown.html). PPP asked 791 (presumably) randomly selected eligible voters. (A sample size of 791 corresponds to a margin of error of 3.5%, so an E.Warren-Brown matchup is within the margin of error.)

    Respondents preferred Brown to Setti Warren, Alan Khazei or Bob Massie by about 48-32 plus or minus a point.

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